allan lichtman bernie sanders

A Washington Post poll shows Sanders beating Trump by 6 points, compared to a lead of 7 points over Trump for Biden. Hint: not Bernie!Head Topics, publish breaking news of all around the world. For decades, Democrats thought they had solved the electability puzzle by regularly nominating moderate and experienced candidates such as Michael Dukakis in 1988, Al Gore in 2000, John Kerry in 2004, and Hillary Clinton in 2016. Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton, and Barack Obama were unknown figures outside the party establishment. However, my advice to Democrats is to stop chasing the will of the wispof electability. However, if Sanders isn't nominated, Lichtman said there will be no clear winner and force a brokered convention. Republicans also fared no better with the moderate presidential candidates in recent years. All had been considered unelectable at one time by pundits and party operatives. By Allan Lichtman, opinion contributor Two other moderate candidates, Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg, beat Trump in Michigan and Pennsylvania, but they lose to him in both Florida and Wisconsin in the same polls.Nationwide polls tell a similar story about the electability of Sanders in the general election. Vote JoeBiden who's BEST candidate to unite nation, garner centrist GOP voters who don't want to vote for realDonaldTrump & safeguard US from Putin takeover Oh please. He also wins Michigan and Pennsylvania against Trump, leads by 1 point in Florida, and loses to Trump in Wisconsin. I have not included Michael Bloomberg in this analysis because polling on his candidacy is still premature, given his disastrous debut in the debate last week.I am not advocating here for the nomination of Sanders. "Lichtman's model has correctly predicted all but one presidential election since 1984. "Lichtman toldNewsweekthat if Sanders does not enter the convention with a majority, there isn't a"superstar candidate" that could definitively get the nomination, and it's unclear who delegates would pick. The Hill 1625 K Street, NW Suite 900 Washington DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 tel | 202-628-8503 faxThe contents of this site are ©2020 Capitol Hill Publishing Corp., a subsidiary of News Communications, Inc. Instead, Democrats must follow their conscience and vote for the candidate they believe in. Remember these are not winner take all. If no candidate manages to do so, the process becomes brokered or contested, allowing superdelegates to enter the fray and vote on a second ballot. "And that would be very interesting, who knows what might come out of that. Current polling shatters the myth that a moderate candidate is more electable than Sanders. The views expressed by contributors are their own and not the view of The Hill "For a candidate to win the nomination, he or she must obtain 1,991 delegates.

"Will Klobuchar win Minnesota? Jetzt haben sie ihre Prognosen vorgelegt, wer … W. Bush. Can Bloomberg win a primary or two? Both Klobuchar and Buttigieg trail Trump by 5 points.I cite these early polls not to predict results in the general election this fall, but only to show that they provide no evidence that Sanders is less electable than the moderate Democratic alternatives. We need to focus! Reagan won the Republican nomination and then completely thrashed Carter by 10 points in the popular vote and 440 electoral votes.Reagan then, like Sanders now, had long experience in deflecting attacks on his alleged extremism. He's followed by former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg with 25, former Vice President Joe Biden with 15, and Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren with eight. ✔House. Republicans only regained the presidency with the unconventional Trump in 2016.There is more than history as well.

— John McCain in 2008 and Mitt Romney in 2012 lost to Obama.

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